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you have made some good money. The point is that in order to understand the investment world you have to get started, and in order to get started you have to make the commitment that you can achieve your goals. In order to achieve your goals you must learn about the markets and invest some of your income to get to where you want to be. It is as simple as that! You can try it and chances are that you will be happy when you get to a point a few years down the road and look at your brokerage account, you will say ... "I did that and I am proud of it!" So, don't listen to the bad vibe discouraging people. Article: "It is not seeing that things are difficult that we do not dare, it is inasmuch as we do not dare that things are difficult!" Lucius Annaeus Seneca (5 BC - 65 AD) If you're just starting out as an investor, doesn't matter your age, it's kind of scary! You know you're supposed to do something with your money, but what? Where do you really start and what's considered safe? First ... Relax! Don't think you have to know everything today. It takes years to understand investing, and no one fully knows exactly what's happening all the time. So you're not abandoned if you're feeling a little overwhelmed and under-informed. Eventually you will make investment decisions with as many facts as you can cast but you have to realize that you can never really know everything. The best part of investing is to learn to live with the euphoria of the unknown! There are systematically nay-sayers who will tell you that investing is for professionals, or that the market is too high, or that it is going to crash! The first statement is false! The second is relative depending on a kennel of factors and the third is systematically a possibility depending on how you define crash! If the Index goes to 10000 and "crashes" back to 8000 and you invested at 7000 you have not really suffered! Is this a crash? Well, that depends on how you define crash. If you store stocks at 10000, and sold at 8000, then you have experienced a "crash." If you store and held on, or used down market strategies that you have learned to hedge your investment, then you have not experience a crash. You have experienced an educational event! And if the market recovers and goes to 11000 and you stayed the course; you have made some good money. The point is that in order to understand the investment world you have to get started, and in order to get started you have to make the onus that you can gain your goals. In order to check in your goals you must learn with regard to the markets and invest some of your income to get to where you want to be. It is as simple as that! You can try it and are that you will be happy when you get to a point a few years down the road and look at your trade account, you will say ... "I did that and I am proud of it!" So, don't listen to the bad vibe discouraging people. Most of them were saying the same things when the Index was at half the size it is today! ForexEnterprise.com: Earn $1,000 Per Day. - The Multiple Streams of Income System - Start Making Money In Just 15 Minutes. Updated & Converting like Crazy! Starting A Child Daycare. - Complete business package to help you easily and quickly start your own profitable home-based day care business! Someone who reads the blog sent me an email asking about a specific Japanese net-net. Rather than trying to choose the best net-nets from among the entire hoard in Japan, I would suggest doing one of two things:
In my own portfolio, I went with option #2. I bought 5 Japanese net cash stocks last year. I've since sold one of them. I have some cash. And am looking to add a couple more Japanese net cash stocks. Right now, they make up 30% of my portfolio. Again, I'm willing to go as high as 50% in Japan. We'll see what happens. But that's me. What would I suggest for others interested in Japanese stocks? Here's how I would look at Japan. If you can find stocks selling for less than net cash with few/no operating losses in their long-term history, buy them. Don't so much look for net-nets in general. Start with an even higher standard. Start with profitable, net cash companies. They are close to non-existent in the U.S. But not Japan. After that, I'm not sure I would necessarily just look at net-nets. For example, there are some cheap Japanese gas companies that are not net-nets (most of their assets are PP&E) but are super reasonably priced on an EV/EBIT basis. To me, it is more important to find totally obvious bargains than to get caught up in the definition of what a net-net is or isn't. Totally obvious bargains fall into a few categories. Here are 2:
In fact, if you really look, you may find some gas companies, grocery stores, etc. that are very cheap on an EV/EBIT or EV/EBITDA basis that you like better than some of the net-nets. That’s fine. Buy the most obvious bargains. The things that are clearly selling for less than they are worth. If you're only going to buy half a dozen Japanese net-nets, you should look for net cash bargains. Once we are talking about receivables, inventory, etc. you need to know more about the business. So it needs to be a simple business or a business you can learn about. That's harder. For me personally that means it makes sense to buy net cash bargains in Japan and look for net-nets on the basis of receivables, inventory, etc. in the U.S. Because in the U.S., I have a better chance of knowing the difference between a predictable business and an unpredictable business. If I could find 10 consistently profitable companies selling below net cash in the U.S., I wouldn’t buy any Japanese stock. Because I understand American businesses better. But I also understand that a consistently profitable company selling for less than net cash will work out as an investment regardless of how well I understand the business. And, of course, the idea is to buy a handful of these companies. Not just one. Talk to Geoff about Japanese Net-Nets Article Index: | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
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